Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Bruun Larsen J.
Assist: Hatate R.
19'
19'
Amdouni Z.
25'
25'
Hatate R.
Assist: Lucas Pires
AI Match Summary
Burnley in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burnley.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Watford lately — more wins on the board than Burnley.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Watford Clean Sheet 19%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Watford | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Championship
Watford vs Burnley
0:4
Apr 18, 2025 Championship
Watford vs Burnley
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Championship
Burnley vs Watford
2:1
Feb 14, 2023 Championship
Burnley vs Watford
1:1
Aug 12, 2022 Championship
Watford vs Burnley
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Watford Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Burnley Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruun Larsen J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Amdouni Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Watford 31 / 100
Burnley 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Watford Burnley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Watford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burnley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 27 matches.
Watford found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Watford has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Watford VS Burnley
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Watford
(Home) 18 Sept
Bristol City
1 : 0 Watford
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1 Preston
05 Sept
West Brom
1 : 0 Watford
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Watford
2 : 1 Preston
29 Aug
Watford
1 : 1 West Ham
25 Aug
Watford
1 : 5 Peterborough
16 Aug
Watford
2 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
Burnley
(Away) 19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Derby
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2 Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1 Burnley
29 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1 Burnley
26 Aug
Bradford City
1 : 0 Burnley
23 Aug
West Brom
3 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
