Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wayside Celtic vs St Mochta's

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. The second leg ended 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wayside Celtic
15%
Draws
42%
St Mochta's
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wayside Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Mochta's come out ahead of Wayside Celtic on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • St Mochta's arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St Mochta's, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Wayside Celtic Clean Sheet 11%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wayside Celtic St Mochta's
Matches Played 15 18
Wins 5 6
Draws 2 0
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.07 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 FAI Cup
Wayside Celtic vs St Mochta's
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wayside Celtic 29 / 100
St Mochta's 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wayside Celtic St Mochta's

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wayside Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wayside Celtic scored in 87% of their last 15 outings.

St Mochta's has conceded goals in 89% of their last 18 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: St Mochta's registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wayside Celtic VS St Mochta's
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.29 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wayside Celtic

(Home)
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4
St Mochta's
18 Jul
Bray
3 : 0
Wayside Celtic
15 May
Wayside Celtic
4 : 0
River Valley Rangers
21 Jul
Wayside Celtic
1 : 3
Wexford
17 May
Wayside Celtic
2 : 1
Collinstown
Page 1 of 3

St Mochta's

(Away)
17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3
Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4
St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1
St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0
Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1
St Mochta's
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -