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Stadium Background

Wda Swiecie vs Lech Poznan II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wda Swiecie play Lech Poznan II in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wda Swiecie averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2 conceded. Lech Poznan II averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Wda Swiecie won 0, Lech Poznan II won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Wda Swiecie and 2.56 for Lech Poznan II. This points to a Wda Swiecie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Wda Swiecie
19%
Draws
39%
Lech Poznan II
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Wda Swiecie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wda Swiecie picked up more points recently compared to Lech Poznan II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 10%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Lech Poznan II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Lech Poznan II
2:3
Sep 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Wda Swiecie
6:0
Mar 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Lech Poznan II
1:1
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Wda Swiecie
1:0
May 29, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Wda Swiecie
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer Januszewski O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slaby P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Palat P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gmur T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 40 / 100
Lech Poznan II 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Lech Poznan II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wda Swiecie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wda Swiecie attacking → ← attacking Lech Poznan II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Lech Poznan II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Wda Swiecie went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lech Poznan II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 37
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415