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Weiden vs Coburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Weiden Logo

Weiden

5 - 0
FT
Coburg Logo

Coburg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Weiden and Coburg finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Weiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Weiden
20%
Draws
10%
Coburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Weiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Weiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Weiden a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Weiden Clean Sheet 15%
Coburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weiden Coburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.72 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Coburg
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs Weiden
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weiden 84 / 100
Coburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weiden Coburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coburg let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Weiden's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Weiden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Weiden VS Coburg
1.5 Goals Scored 1.29
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.57
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Weiden

(Home)
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
29 Aug
Weiden
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
22 Aug
Bayern Hof
1 : 3
Weiden
18 Aug
Weiden
2 : 7
TSV Kornburg
15 Aug
ASV Neumarkt
3 : 3
Weiden
Page 1 of 6

Coburg

(Away)
11 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
2 : 2
Coburg
27 Jun
Coburg
0 : 2
Munchberg
25 May
Coburg
0 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
21 May
Pfaffenhofen
2 : 1
Coburg
16 May
Coburg
2 : 4
ASV Neumarkt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)