Sport Picks
Welayta Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
15'
15'
Tefera A.
55'
55'
Tefera A.
64'
64'
Bogale M.
AI Match Summary
Bahir Dar Kenema in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahir Dar Kenema.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Bahir Dar Kenema haven't matched Welayta Dicha's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 20%
Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welayta Dicha | Bahir Dar Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 15 | 14 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2026 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema
1:3
Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
0:2
Jan 20, 2026 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema
0:0
Jun 12, 2025 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Bahir Dar Kenema
0:4
Nov 3, 2024 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Welayta Dicha Compare
Top Goalscorer Bogale M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Bahir Dar Kenema Compare
Top Goalscorer Tefera A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Semu B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Welayta Dicha 32 / 100
Bahir Dar Kenema 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Welayta Dicha Bahir Dar Kenema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Welayta Dicha remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Welayta Dicha scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Bahir Dar Kenema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Welayta Dicha VS Bahir Dar Kenema
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Welayta Dicha
(Home) 22 Oct
Welayta Dicha
1 : 3 Bahir Dar Kenema
18 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Welayta Dicha
10 Oct
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Welayta Dicha
1 : 3 Bahir Dar Kenema
10 Oct
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 3
Bahir Dar Kenema
(Away) 22 Oct
Welayta Dicha
1 : 3 Bahir Dar Kenema
16 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
11 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Bahir Dar Kenema
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Welayta Dicha
1 : 3 Bahir Dar Kenema
16 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
11 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Bahir Dar Kenema
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 4 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 5 | Halaba Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Adama City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 7 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 9 | Sheger Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 10 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Fasil Kenema | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 12 | St. Georges | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 13 | Hawassa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 14 | Welayta Dicha | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 15 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 | Hadiya Hossana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
