Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Taffese T.
45'
45'
Tadele B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Welayta Dicha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Welayta Dicha have won more games recently than Hawassa.
- Win probability leans Welayta Dicha's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 68%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welayta Dicha | Hawassa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 15 | 13 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Hawassa
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Welayta Dicha
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Welayta Dicha
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Hawassa
1:1
Jul 3, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Welayta Dicha
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Welayta Dicha Compare
Top Goalscorer Taffese T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Hawassa Compare
Top Goalscorer Tadele B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Welayta Dicha 77 / 100
Hawassa 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Welayta Dicha Hawassa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Welayta Dicha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Welayta Dicha's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Hawassa has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Welayta Dicha has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Welayta Dicha VS Hawassa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Welayta Dicha
(Home) 03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
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03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
14 May
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 St. Georges
04 May
Welayta Dicha
1 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
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Hawassa
(Away) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
20 May
St. Georges
1 : 0 Hawassa
09 May
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 0 Hawassa
29 Apr
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 1 Hawassa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
