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Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Welayta Dicha host Welwalo Adigrat in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Welwalo Adigrat have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Welayta Dicha have conceded 0.61 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Welayta Dicha have won 4 to Welwalo Adigrat's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.66 xG vs 0.78) point toward Welayta Dicha. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Welayta Dicha
35%
Draws
35%
Welwalo Adigrat
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Welwalo Adigrat lately — more wins on the board than Welayta Dicha.
  • Win probability leans Welayta Dicha's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Welayta Dicha have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 20%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welayta Dicha Welwalo Adigrat
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 15 13
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.61 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Welayta Dicha
0:1
Nov 25, 2025 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Welayta Dicha
0:2
Mar 13, 2020 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welayta Dicha 76 / 100
Welwalo Adigrat 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welayta Dicha Welwalo Adigrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welayta Dicha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Welayta Dicha stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Welayta Dicha scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Welwalo Adigrat has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Welayta Dicha VS Welwalo Adigrat
0.57 Goals Scored 1.13
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Welayta Dicha

(Home)
18 Oct
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1
Welayta Dicha
10 Oct
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Fasil Kenema
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2
Ethio Electric S.C.
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Welwalo Adigrat

(Away)
16 Oct
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 4
Al Ahly Tripoli
09 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Halaba Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
4 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Adama City 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Ethio Electric S.C. 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
7 Sheger Ketema FC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 Mechal SC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Bahir Dar Kenema 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
11 Welayta Dicha 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Fasil Kenema 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 St. Georges 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Hawassa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Hadiya Hossana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)