Sport Picks
Welling vs Burgess Hill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 
Match Events
28'
28'
Shomotun F.
60'
60'
Shomotun F.
68'
68'
Morrison H.
AI Match Summary
The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Welling and Burgess Hill finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Welling.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burgess Hill
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Welling carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Welling's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Burgess Hill have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Welling | Burgess Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Burgess Hill
4:2
Mar 7, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Welling
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Burgess Hill
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Welling Compare
Top Goalscorer Shomotun F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Majoyegbe L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Burgess Hill Compare
Top Goalscorer Morrison H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Welling 47 / 100
Burgess Hill 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Welling Burgess Hill
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Welling Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Welling scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Burgess Hill let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Welling has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Welling VS Burgess Hill
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Welling
(Home) 17 Oct
Welling
4 : 2 Burgess Hill
10 Oct
Eastbourne Borough
1 : 0 Welling
06 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1 Welling
03 Oct
Welling
1 : 0 Whyteleafe
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Welling
4 : 2 Burgess Hill
03 Oct
Welling
1 : 0 Whyteleafe
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0 Cheshunt
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 3
Burgess Hill
(Away) 17 Oct
Welling
4 : 2 Burgess Hill
13 Oct
Burgess Hill
2 : 0 Dulwich Hamlet
10 Oct
Burgess Hill
1 : 1 Aveley
03 Oct
Burgess Hill
4 : 1 Maldon & Tiptree
26 Sept
Burgess Hill
6 : 2 Winslow United
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Welling
4 : 2 Burgess Hill
19 Sept
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Burgess Hill
15 Sept
Jersey Bulls
1 : 3 Burgess Hill
31 Aug
Whitehawk
1 : 1 Burgess Hill
22 Aug
Cheshunt
1 : 1 Burgess Hill
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enfield Town | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 33:16 | 28 |
| 2 | Welling | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 24:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Lewes | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Dartford | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Carshalton | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 6 | Ramsgate | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Burgess Hill | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 17 |
| 9 | St. Albans | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:13 | 17 |
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | 17 |
| 11 | Wingate & Finchley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Chatham | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 19:14 | 15 |
| 13 | Leatherhead | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 14 | Whyteleafe | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 16 | Aveley | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:21 | 14 |
| 17 | Maldon & Tiptree | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 18:35 | 13 |
| 18 | Cray Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 12 |
| 19 | Brentwood | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15:19 | 9 |
| 20 | Three Bridges | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 23:34 | 9 |
| 21 | Whitehawk | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12:32 | 6 |
| 22 | Stanway Rovers | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9:30 | 4 |
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
