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Welling vs Carshalton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Welling host Carshalton in the Isthmian League Premier Division. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Carshalton have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Welling have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Welling slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.25) point toward Welling. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Welling
15%
Draws
8%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Welling have won more games recently than Carshalton.
  • Welling are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Welling Clean Sheet 19%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welling Carshalton
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.82 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Carshalton
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Welling
2:1
Feb 21, 2006 National League South
Carshalton vs Welling
1:0
Oct 18, 2005 National League South
Welling vs Carshalton
2:0
Mar 5, 2005 National League South
Welling vs Carshalton
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welling 85 / 100
Carshalton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welling Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welling Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Welling scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Carshalton let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Welling stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Welling VS Carshalton
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Welling

(Home)
17 Oct
Welling
4 : 2
Burgess Hill
10 Oct
Eastbourne Borough
1 : 0
Welling
06 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1
Welling
03 Oct
Welling
1 : 0
Whyteleafe
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6

Carshalton

(Away)
20 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
4 : 2
Carshalton
17 Oct
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 2
Carshalton
12 Oct
Carshalton
1 : 2
Enfield Town
10 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 1
St. Albans
05 Oct
Carshalton
0 : 4
Eastbourne Borough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 12 9 1 2 33:16 28
2 Welling 12 9 0 3 24:12 27
3 Lewes 13 8 2 3 20:14 26
4 Dartford 13 8 0 5 19:17 24
5 Ramsgate 13 7 1 5 29:17 22
6 Eastbourne Borough 11 7 1 3 21:11 22
7 Carshalton 15 7 1 7 23:28 22
8 Burgess Hill 12 5 5 2 23:17 20
9 Wingate & Finchley 12 6 2 4 24:23 20
10 Chatham 11 6 0 5 23:14 18
11 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
12 Dulwich Hamlet 12 5 2 5 20:20 17
13 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
14 Whyteleafe 14 4 3 7 22:25 15
15 Cheshunt 12 3 6 3 12:15 15
16 Aveley 13 4 2 7 20:21 14
17 Maldon & Tiptree 14 4 1 9 18:35 13
18 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
19 Brentwood 11 4 0 7 18:19 12
20 Three Bridges 13 2 3 8 23:36 9
21 Whitehawk 13 1 3 9 12:32 6
22 Stanway Rovers 12 1 1 10 9:32 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)