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Welling vs Leatherhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Welling host Leatherhead in the Isthmian League Premier Division. This one's hard to separate. Welling have averaged 1.78 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Leatherhead's 2.11 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Leatherhead slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 11, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.50) back Leatherhead to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Welling
15%
Draws
37%
Leatherhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Welling lately — more wins on the board than Leatherhead.
  • Model gives Welling a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Welling Clean Sheet 16%
Leatherhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welling Leatherhead
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.78 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leatherhead vs Welling
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welling 75 / 100
Leatherhead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welling Leatherhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welling Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welling found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Leatherhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Welling stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Welling VS Leatherhead
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Welling

(Home)
17 Oct
Welling
4 : 2
Burgess Hill
10 Oct
Eastbourne Borough
1 : 0
Welling
06 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1
Welling
03 Oct
Welling
1 : 0
Whyteleafe
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6

Leatherhead

(Away)
20 Oct
Yeovil
5 : 2
Leatherhead
17 Oct
Leatherhead
3 : 3
Yeovil
10 Oct
Leatherhead
1 : 2
Cheshunt
03 Oct
Leatherhead
1 : 0
Hanworth Villa
26 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 2
Ramsgate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 12 9 1 2 33:16 28
2 Welling 12 9 0 3 24:12 27
3 Lewes 13 8 2 3 20:14 26
4 Dartford 13 8 0 5 19:17 24
5 Ramsgate 13 7 1 5 29:17 22
6 Eastbourne Borough 11 7 1 3 21:11 22
7 Carshalton 15 7 1 7 23:28 22
8 Burgess Hill 12 5 5 2 23:17 20
9 Wingate & Finchley 12 6 2 4 24:23 20
10 Chatham 11 6 0 5 23:14 18
11 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
12 Dulwich Hamlet 12 5 2 5 20:20 17
13 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
14 Whyteleafe 14 4 3 7 22:25 15
15 Cheshunt 12 3 6 3 12:15 15
16 Aveley 13 4 2 7 20:21 14
17 Maldon & Tiptree 14 4 1 9 18:35 13
18 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
19 Brentwood 11 4 0 7 18:19 12
20 Three Bridges 13 2 3 8 23:36 9
21 Whitehawk 13 1 3 9 12:32 6
22 Stanway Rovers 12 1 1 10 9:32 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)