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Wellington Olympic vs Cashmere Technical

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington Olympic in this Chatham Cup 2022 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Wellington Olympic
15%
Draws
57%
Cashmere Technical
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cashmere Technical

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cashmere Technical haven't matched Wellington Olympic's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cashmere Technical's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Wellington Olympic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wellington Olympic, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Cashmere Technical Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Cashmere Technical
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.55 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Olympic
2:2
Oct 6, 2023 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Olympic
3:3
Oct 16, 2022 National League
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Olympic
0:3
Jul 30, 2022 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Cashmere Technical
3:2
Aug 24, 2013 Chatham Cup
Cashmere Technical vs Wellington Olympic
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 10 / 100
Cashmere Technical 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Cashmere Technical

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cashmere Technical Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Cashmere Technical has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Wellington Olympic stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS Cashmere Technical
2.88 Goals Scored 3.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Olympic

(Home)
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 7

Cashmere Technical

(Away)
05 Sept
Cashmere Technical
1 : 2
Fencibles United AFC
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Dunedin City Royals
0 : 9
Cashmere Technical
24 Feb
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Ferrymead Bays
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Dunedin City Royals 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Bay Olympic 1
Auckland City 2
Napier City 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Cashmere Technical 9
Green Island AFC 0
Melville 1
Waiheke United 2
Birkenhead 0
Eastern Suburbs 2
Miramar 5
Western Suburbs 1
Auckland United 0
Hamilton 1
Quarter-finals
Dunedin City Royals 0
Auckland City 6
Wellington Olympic 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Waiheke United 0
Eastern Suburbs 1
Miramar 3
Hamilton 4
Semi-finals
Auckland City 3
Wellington Olympic 1
Eastern Suburbs 1
Hamilton 0
Final
Auckland City 1
Eastern Suburbs 0