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Wellington Olympic vs Caversham

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Wellington Olympic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Wellington Olympic
15%
Draws
42%
Caversham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wellington Olympic come out ahead of Caversham on wins alone.
  • Wellington Olympic are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Wellington Olympic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wellington Olympic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 16%
Caversham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Caversham
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2013 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Caversham
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 75 / 100
Caversham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Caversham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wellington Olympic scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Caversham has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Caversham's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Olympic

(Home)
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 7

Caversham

(Away)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Palmerston North Marist 2
Napier City 1
Cashmere Technical 7
Waimakariri United 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Lower Hutt City 2
Roslyn Wakari 1
Caversham 4
Manurewa 0
Melville 1
Birkenhead 3
Hamilton 1
Waitakere City 3
Bay Olympic 1
Onehunga 4
Ngaruawahia AFC 0
Quarter-finals
Palmerston North Marist 0
Cashmere Technical 1
Wellington Olympic 3
Caversham 2
Melville 3
Birkenhead 2
Waitakere City 7
Onehunga 0
Semi-finals
Cashmere Technical 4
Wellington Olympic 0
Melville 1
Waitakere City 4
Final
Cashmere Technical 3
Waitakere City 1