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Wellington Olympic vs Miramar

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Wakefield Park, Wellington
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mata B.
38' Event
Munoz R.
42'
Gulley J.

AI Match Summary

Wellington Olympic in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Wellington Olympic
15%
Draws
51%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wellington Olympic lately — more wins on the board than Miramar.
  • Win probability leans Miramar's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Wellington Olympic have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Miramar
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 24 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.72 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Miramar
2:1
Nov 27, 2022 National League
Miramar vs Wellington Olympic
1:4
Jul 6, 2019 Chatham Cup
Miramar vs Wellington Olympic
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Mata B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouzoukis G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 26 / 100
Miramar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (36 games).

Miramar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Wellington Olympic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS Miramar
2 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Olympic

(Home)
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Christchurch
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 8

Miramar

(Away)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 10 7 0 3 23:14 21
2 Auckland City 10 6 2 2 19:14 20
3 Miramar 10 6 1 3 25:14 19
4 Auckland FC 2 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Western Springs 10 5 1 4 16:13 16
6 Birkenhead 10 5 0 5 20:21 15
7 Christchurch 10 4 2 4 16:19 14
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 10 3 1 6 18:21 10
9 Western Suburbs 10 3 1 6 19:21 10
10 Auckland United 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
11 Coastal Spirit 10 2 1 7 5:23 7
Promotion - National League (Grand Final)