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Wellington Olympic vs Stop Out SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2024 Wakefield Park, Wellington
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mata B.
28' Event
Prins I.
36' Event
Mata B.

AI Match Summary

Wellington Olympic in this Chatham Cup 2024 tie, finishing 8-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Wellington Olympic
15%
Draws
0%
Stop Out SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wellington Olympic lately — more wins on the board than Stop Out SC.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Wellington Olympic taking it.
  • Wellington Olympic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wellington Olympic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 68%
Stop Out SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Olympic Stop Out SC
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 19 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.57 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Stop Out SC
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Mata B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bouzoukis G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Stop Out SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Olympic 95 / 100
Stop Out SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Olympic Stop Out SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stop Out SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 4 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wellington Olympic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Olympic VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Olympic

(Home)
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2
Ferrymead Bays
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 6

Stop Out SC

(Away)
06 Jul
Wellington Olympic
8 : 0
Stop Out SC
14 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 1
Stop Out SC
15 Jul
Stop Out SC
1 : 5
Western Suburbs
07 Jul
Miramar
4 : 0
Stop Out SC

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Melville 0
Hibiscus Coast 1
Ferrymead Bays 3
Coastal Spirit 5
Wellington Olympic 8
Stop Out SC 0
Manurewa 3
Onehunga Mangere 2
Otago University 3
Dunedin City Royals 2
Cambridge 1
Auckland City 4
Napier City 2
Miramar 1
Western Springs 3
Birkenhead 4
Quarter-finals
Hibiscus Coast 3
Coastal Spirit 4
Wellington Olympic 4
Manurewa 0
Otago University 1
Auckland City 5
Napier City 1
Birkenhead 2
Semi-finals
Coastal Spirit 1
Wellington Olympic 5
Auckland City 4
Birkenhead 2
Final
Wellington Olympic 2
Auckland City 1