Sport Picks

Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Auckland FC 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand

National League

Auckland FC 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wellington Phoenix 2 host Auckland FC 2 in the National League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Auckland FC 2 have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while Wellington Phoenix 2 have conceded 2.55 and scored 1.94. Head-to-head, Wellington Phoenix 2 have won 0 to Auckland FC 2's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.67 vs 2.46, favoring Auckland FC 2. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Wellington Phoenix 2

15%

Draws

59%

Auckland FC 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland FC 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Auckland FC 2 come out ahead of Wellington Phoenix 2 on wins alone.
Win probability leans Auckland FC 2's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Auckland FC 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wellington Phoenix 2	Auckland FC 2
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	11	19
Draws	3	5
Losses	17	7
Goals Scored	1.94	1.84
Goals Conceded	2.55	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	0.67	2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 National League

Auckland FC 2 vs Wellington Phoenix 2

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 10 / 100

Auckland FC 2 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wellington Phoenix 2 Auckland FC 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland FC 2 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Auckland FC 2 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Wellington Phoenix 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS Auckland FC 2

0.33 Goals Scored 1.25

3.67 Goals Conceded 1

67% Over 1.5 63%

33% Over 2.5 38%

33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History