Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Tasman United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Saiko J.
29' Event
Waine B.
66' Event
Waine B.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Wellington Phoenix 2 and Tasman United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington Phoenix 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Wellington Phoenix 2
20%
Draws
38%
Tasman United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Wellington Phoenix 2 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 Tasman United
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Tasman United
3:1
Dec 8, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Tasman United
1:1
Nov 18, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:2
Mar 11, 2018 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Tasman United
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Waine B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tasman United Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiko J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 41 / 100
Tasman United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 Tasman United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Tasman United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Wellington Phoenix 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610