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Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Tasman United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Saiko J.
29' Event
Waine B.
66' Event
Waine B.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Wellington Phoenix 2 and Tasman United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington Phoenix 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Wellington Phoenix 2
20%
Draws
51%
Tasman United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tasman United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tasman United taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Wellington Phoenix 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 Tasman United
Matches Played 50 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 1.78 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Tasman United
3:1
Dec 8, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
1:1
Feb 3, 2019 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Tasman United
1:1
Nov 18, 2018 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Wellington Phoenix 2
3:2
Mar 11, 2018 Football Championship
Wellington Phoenix 2 vs Tasman United
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington Phoenix 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Waine B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Tasman United Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiko J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 26 / 100
Tasman United 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 Tasman United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tasman United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Wellington Phoenix 2 scored in 78% of their last 50 games.

Tasman United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Wellington Phoenix 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Cashmere Technical
10 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
26 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1
Auckland United
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
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Tasman United

(Away)
14 Mar
Hamilton
3 : 3
Tasman United
08 Mar
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 1
Tasman United
23 Feb
Tasman United
2 : 1
Auckland City
09 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 1
Tasman United
02 Feb
Tasman United
3 : 1
Hawke s Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)