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Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Southern United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wellington Phoenix 2 W host Southern United W in the National League Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Wellington Phoenix 2 W at 1.65 goals for, 2.48 against; Southern United W at 1.86 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor Southern United W slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2025, ending 4:1. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.75) point toward Southern United W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15%
Draws
0%
Southern United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Phoenix 2 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Southern United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Wellington Phoenix 2 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Southern United W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 12%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington Phoenix 2 W Southern United W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 National League Women
Southern United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:1
Nov 8, 2024 National League Women
Southern United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Southern United W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington Phoenix 2 W 83 / 100
Southern United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Southern United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington Phoenix 2 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Phoenix 2 W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Southern United W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Southern United W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Wellington Phoenix 2 W VS Southern United W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington Phoenix 2 W

(Home)
11 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
0 : 2
West Coast Rangers W
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
15 Aug
Cashmere Technical W
2 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
Page 1 of 7

Southern United W

(Away)
11 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 4
Waterside Karori W
04 Oct
Southern United W
0 : 3
Fencibles W
26 Sept
Auckland United W
5 : 0
Southern United W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)