Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
A-League Sky Stadium, Wellington 
AI Match Summary
Wellington Phoenix host Adelaide Utd in the A-League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Adelaide Utd have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Wellington Phoenix have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Wellington Phoenix have won 1 to Adelaide Utd's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Adelaide Utd. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Wellington Phoenix haven't matched Adelaide Utd's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Adelaide Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Adelaide Utd let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Wellington Phoenix found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Wellington Phoenix remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix
(Home)Adelaide Utd
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Macarthur FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Auckland FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 10 | Melbourne City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 11 | Adelaide Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
