Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
A-League Sky Stadium, Wellington 
AI Match Summary
Wellington Phoenix host Macarthur FC in the A-League. This one's hard to separate. Wellington Phoenix have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Macarthur FC's 1.5 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Macarthur FC slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.56, favoring Macarthur FC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Macarthur FC lately — more wins on the board than Wellington Phoenix.
- Model gives Macarthur FC a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix | Macarthur FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Macarthur FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Wellington Phoenix found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Wellington Phoenix has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix
(Home)Macarthur FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Macarthur FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Auckland FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 6 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 7 | Central Coast | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Sydney FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 10 | Melbourne City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 11 | Adelaide Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
