Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix W vs Melbourne Victory W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Wellington Phoenix W host Melbourne Victory W in the A-League Women. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Wellington Phoenix W at 1.57 goals for, 1.07 against; Melbourne Victory W at 1.52 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Wellington Phoenix W have won 1 to Melbourne Victory W's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.13) point toward Melbourne Victory W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Melbourne Victory W come out ahead of Wellington Phoenix W on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Wellington Phoenix W taking it.
- Regular A-League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Melbourne Victory W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Melbourne Victory W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Melbourne Victory W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix W
(Home)Melbourne Victory W
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Brisbane Roar W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Newcastle W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Canberra W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Sydney W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Perth W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Melbourne City W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Central Coast W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |