Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix W vs Newcastle W
Australia
A-League Women Sky Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Wellington Phoenix W play Newcastle W in the A-League Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wellington Phoenix W averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Newcastle W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Wellington Phoenix W won 2, Newcastle W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Wellington Phoenix W and 1.38 for Newcastle W. This points to a Wellington Phoenix W double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Wellington Phoenix W picked up more points recently compared to Newcastle W.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix W | Newcastle W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix W Compare
Newcastle W Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Newcastle W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Wellington Phoenix W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Newcastle W lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | 40 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | 34 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 31 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | 31 |
| 5 | Adelaide W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast W | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 8 | Perth W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | 24 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | 23 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | 19 |
| 11 | Western Sydney Wanderers W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | 19 |