Sport Picks
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
New Zealand
National League Women 2024 
Match Events
73'
73'
Mackay-Wright H.
77'
77'
Hope G.
83'
83'
Smith S.
AI Match Summary
Southern United W in this National League Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Southern United W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Wellington United W haven't matched Southern United W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Wellington United W's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Southern United W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%
Southern United W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington United W | Southern United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
1:2
Oct 13, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Southern United W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hope G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88
Southern United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Mackay-Wright H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smith S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington United W 83 / 100
Southern United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington United W Southern United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington United W scored in 93% of their last 27 games.
Wellington United W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Southern United W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Wellington United W VS Southern United W
3.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington United W
(Home) 22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9 Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0 Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8 Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
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22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0 Petone W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
12 Oct
Wellington United W
3 : 2 Eastern Suburbs W
05 Oct
Wellington United W
1 : 1 Southern United W
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Southern United W
(Away) 23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7 Western Springs W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0 Central Football W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0 Southern United W
25 Oct
Southern United W
4 : 0 Canterbury United W
Page 1 of 6
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
01 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 0 Southern United W
18 Oct
Petone W
1 : 4 Southern United W
05 Oct
Wellington United W
1 : 1 Southern United W
16 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 1 Southern United W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | Waterside Karori W | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Western Springs W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 14 |
| 5 | West Coast Rangers W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 6 | Wellington United W | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Southern United W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:28 | 4 |
| 10 | Central Football W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:50 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)
