Sport Picks
Wellington United W vs Southern United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
National League Women 
AI Match Summary
Wellington United W host Southern United W in the National League Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Southern United W have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Wellington United W have conceded 1.5 and scored 2.71. Head-to-head, Wellington United W have won 0 to Southern United W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (3.25 - 1.50) back Southern United W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Wellington United W at 2.71 per game, Southern United W at 1.93.
- Wellington United W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Southern United W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington United W | Southern United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.71 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington United W scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Southern United W conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Wellington United W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington United W
(Home)Southern United W
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Suburbs W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Auckland United W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Fencibles W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Waterside Karori W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 5 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 6 | Wellington United W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 8 | West Coast Rangers W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 9 | Southern United W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | 0 |
