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Wels vs Micheldorf

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Oberosterreich 2022/2023 game between Wels and Micheldorf finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Wels
20%
Draws
51%
Micheldorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Micheldorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Micheldorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Micheldorf taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wels Clean Sheet 18%
Micheldorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wels Micheldorf
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1 1.35
Goals Conceded 3.54 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2023 Oberosterreich
Wels vs Micheldorf
2:2
Aug 26, 2022 Oberosterreich
Micheldorf vs Wels
8:0
Mar 17, 2018 Oberosterreich
Micheldorf vs Wels
0:1
Aug 18, 2017 Oberosterreich
Wels vs Micheldorf
1:0
Apr 28, 2017 Oberosterreich
Wels vs Micheldorf
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wels 10 / 100
Micheldorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wels Micheldorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Micheldorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Micheldorf let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Wels scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Wels stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Micheldorf
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wels

(Home)
07 Jun
Perg
0 : 2
Wels
02 Jun
Wels
1 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
26 May
Union Edelweiss Linz
10 : 1
Wels
19 May
Wels
1 : 3
Bad Ischl
12 May
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
5 : 1
Wels
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Micheldorf

(Away)
18 Sept
Pregarten
0 : 1
Micheldorf
11 Sept
Micheldorf
1 : 2
Union Weisskirchen
04 Sept
Union Edelweiss Linz
4 : 1
Micheldorf
28 Aug
Micheldorf
2 : 2
Garsten
21 Aug
Gmunden
1 : 2
Micheldorf
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