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Welwalo Adigrat vs Hilal Alsahil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
3 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Welwalo Adigrat
30%
Draws
33%
Hilal Alsahil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hilal Alsahil's 1.21 goals per match outpaces what Welwalo Adigrat have produced (1.14).
  • Win probability leans Welwalo Adigrat's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Welwalo Adigrat, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 20%
Hilal Alsahil Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welwalo Adigrat Hilal Alsahil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Welwalo Adigrat vs Hilal Alsahil
3:1
Sep 4, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Hilal Alsahil vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welwalo Adigrat 67 / 100
Hilal Alsahil 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welwalo Adigrat Hilal Alsahil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welwalo Adigrat Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Welwalo Adigrat's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Welwalo Adigrat stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Hilal Alsahil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Welwalo Adigrat VS Hilal Alsahil
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Welwalo Adigrat

(Home)
09 Oct
Halaba Ketema FC
1 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
Page 1 of 6

Hilal Alsahil

(Away)
12 Sept
Welwalo Adigrat
3 : 1
Hilal Alsahil
04 Sept
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
06 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
0 : 1
Al Merreikh II
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0
Umm Mughad
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -