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Welwalo Adigrat vs Shire Endaselassie

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tesfaye G.
(Penalty)
63'
Ayi R.

AI Match Summary

Welwalo Adigrat host Shire Endaselassie in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Welwalo Adigrat have averaged 0.63 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Shire Endaselassie's 0.75 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Welwalo Adigrat have won 1 to Shire Endaselassie's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 0.69, favoring Welwalo Adigrat. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Welwalo Adigrat
28%
Draws
22%
Shire Endaselassie
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Welwalo Adigrat has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Shire Endaselassie.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Welwalo Adigrat.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%
Shire Endaselassie Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welwalo Adigrat Shire Endaselassie
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 15 12
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Shire Endaselassie
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Shire Endaselassie
1:1
Feb 7, 2025 Premier League
Shire Endaselassie vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:0
Mar 21, 2020 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Shire Endaselassie
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welwalo Adigrat 59 / 100
Shire Endaselassie 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welwalo Adigrat Shire Endaselassie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welwalo Adigrat scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Shire Endaselassie let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Welwalo Adigrat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shire Endaselassie lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Welwalo Adigrat VS Shire Endaselassie
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635