Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Welwalo Adigrat vs Welayta Dicha

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Solomon M.

AI Match Summary

Welayta Dicha in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Welayta Dicha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Welwalo Adigrat
30%
Draws
34%
Welayta Dicha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Welwalo Adigrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Welwalo Adigrat have won more games recently than Welayta Dicha.
  • Welwalo Adigrat are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Welayta Dicha have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welwalo Adigrat Welayta Dicha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 14 15
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Welayta Dicha
0:1
Nov 25, 2025 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Welayta Dicha
0:2
Mar 13, 2020 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Welwalo Adigrat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Welayta Dicha Compare

Top Goalscorer Solomon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welwalo Adigrat 46 / 100
Welayta Dicha 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welwalo Adigrat Welayta Dicha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Welwalo Adigrat found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Welwalo Adigrat stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Welayta Dicha has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Welwalo Adigrat VS Welayta Dicha
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Welwalo Adigrat

(Home)
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2
Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1
Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1
Hadiya Hossana
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0
Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 6

Welayta Dicha

(Away)
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2
Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)