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Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Weserstadion, Bremen
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Werder Bremen have averaged 1.7 scored and 1.74 conceded recently, against Hoffenheim's 1.81 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Hoffenheim slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.94 - 2.00) back Hoffenheim to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Werder Bremen
30%
Draws
23%
Hoffenheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Werder Bremen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Werder Bremen lately — more wins on the board than Hoffenheim.
  • Model gives Hoffenheim a 23% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hoffenheim here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 10%
Hoffenheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen Hoffenheim
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.74 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
1:0
Jan 27, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:2
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:3
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen 26 / 100
Hoffenheim 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen Hoffenheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoffenheim let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Werder Bremen found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Werder Bremen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen VS Hoffenheim
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen

(Home)
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
02 Oct
Twente
7 : 0
Werder Bremen
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
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Hoffenheim

(Away)
18 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 2
Hoffenheim
15 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Besiktas
10 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Hamburger
20 Sept
Paderborn
3 : 1
Hoffenheim
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Dortmund 6 4 2 0 11:4 14
3 Freiburg 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 16:9 13
5 Mainz 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
6 Elversberg 6 3 1 2 12:11 10
7 RB Leipzig 6 3 0 3 16:11 9
8 Werder Bremen 6 2 3 1 12:12 9
9 Hamburger 6 3 0 3 6:15 9
10 Augsburg 6 2 2 2 16:12 8
11 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 10:16 8
12 1. FC Koln 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
13 VfB Stuttgart 6 2 0 4 8:10 6
14 Hoffenheim 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
15 Schalke 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
16 Paderborn 6 1 2 3 5:9 5
17 Union Berlin 6 1 2 3 5:17 5
18 B. Monchengladbach 6 0 0 6 8:20 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)