Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Werder Bremen W vs SGS Essen W

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 Weserstadion Platz 11, Bremen
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Elmazi L. In: Berentzen M.
Out: Elmazi L.
34'
Weiss M.
55' Event
Alber M.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between Werder Bremen W and SGS Essen W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Werder Bremen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Werder Bremen W
30%
Draws
37%
SGS Essen W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SGS Essen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Werder Bremen W come out ahead of SGS Essen W on wins alone.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on SGS Essen W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Werder Bremen W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Werder Bremen W Clean Sheet 15%
SGS Essen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen W SGS Essen W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.6 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs SGS Essen W
2:1
Mar 11, 2026 DFB Pokal Women
SGS Essen W vs Werder Bremen W
1:0
Nov 5, 2025 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Werder Bremen W
2:3
Apr 11, 2025 Bundesliga Women
SGS Essen W vs Werder Bremen W
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Werder Bremen W vs SGS Essen W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Werder Bremen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Alber M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hausicke L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

SGS Essen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maier R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen W 27 / 100
SGS Essen W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen W SGS Essen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SGS Essen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

SGS Essen W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Werder Bremen W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen W VS SGS Essen W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen W

(Home)
02 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
26 Sept
Bochum W
0 : 1
Werder Bremen W
21 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 1
VfB Stuttgart W
11 Sept
Werder Bremen W
1 : 0
Hamburger W
06 Sept
Wolfsburg W
3 : 2
Werder Bremen W
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SGS Essen W

(Away)
04 Oct
SGS Essen W
1 : 1
Meppen W
27 Sept
Schalke W
1 : 4
SGS Essen W
19 Sept
Viktoria Berlin W
1 : 0
SGS Essen W
13 Sept
SGS Essen W
1 : 1
Ingolstadt W
06 Sept
Potsdam W
0 : 1
SGS Essen W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich W 26 24 2 0 90:9 74
2 Wolfsburg W 26 18 4 4 72:38 58
3 Eintracht Frankfurt W 26 16 3 7 65:43 51
4 Hoffenheim W 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Bayer Leverkusen W 26 15 1 10 46:36 46
6 Werder Bremen W 26 12 7 7 42:36 43
7 Koln W 26 11 4 11 36:37 37
8 Freiburg W 26 10 4 12 44:46 34
9 Union Berlin W 26 8 6 12 42:51 30
10 RB Leipzig W 26 7 7 12 39:48 28
11 1.FC Nurnberg W 26 6 4 16 33:61 22
12 Hamburger W 26 4 6 16 26:57 18
13 SGS Essen W 26 3 7 16 22:63 16
14 Carl Zeiss Jena W 26 2 5 19 22:72 11
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women (Main)