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West Brom vs Burnley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Styles C.
Own Goal
18' Event
Whitwell H.
Assist: Morgan J.
26'
Sonne O.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between West Brom and Burnley finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward West Brom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
West Brom
30%
Draws
29%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: West Brom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and West Brom come out ahead of Burnley on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
West Brom Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Brom Burnley
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 2
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.71 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Championship
West Brom vs Burnley
3:1
Mar 11, 2025 Championship
Burnley vs West Brom
1:1
Nov 7, 2024 Championship
West Brom vs Burnley
0:0
Jan 20, 2023 Championship
Burnley vs West Brom
2:1
Sep 2, 2022 Championship
West Brom vs Burnley
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Brom Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitwell H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Price I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Burnley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Brom 31 / 100
Burnley 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Brom Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Brom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: West Brom scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Burnley has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

West Brom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

West Brom VS Burnley
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

West Brom

(Home)
24 Oct
Preston
1 : 1
West Brom
17 Oct
West Brom
3 : 2
Blackburn
13 Oct
Wrexham
1 : 2
West Brom
10 Oct
West Brom
0 : 1
Birmingham
20 Sept
Wolves
1 : 0
West Brom
Page 1 of 6

Burnley

(Away)
24 Oct
Lincoln City
4 : 1
Burnley
16 Oct
Burnley
1 : 2
Wolves
13 Oct
Burnley
2 : 2
Charlton
10 Oct
Watford
0 : 4
Burnley
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 27:17 25
2 Swansea 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
3 West Ham 12 6 4 2 32:15 22
4 Wolves 12 6 3 3 20:16 21
5 West Brom 12 6 3 3 16:13 21
6 Southampton 12 7 3 2 24:12 20
7 Birmingham 12 5 5 2 20:12 20
8 QPR 12 5 5 2 20:12 20
9 Stoke City 12 6 2 4 18:16 20
10 Blackburn 12 5 3 4 19:16 18
11 Portsmouth 12 5 3 4 16:15 18
12 Sheffield Utd 12 4 4 4 16:15 16
13 Millwall 12 4 3 5 19:20 15
14 Bristol City 12 4 3 5 12:15 15
15 Lincoln City 12 4 3 5 13:20 15
16 Cardiff 12 3 5 4 19:17 14
17 Wrexham 12 3 5 4 15:18 14
18 Bolton 12 4 2 6 16:23 14
19 Charlton 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
20 Norwich 12 4 0 8 20:22 12
21 Watford 12 3 2 7 10:20 11
22 Burnley 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
23 Derby 12 1 4 7 10:21 7
24 Preston 12 1 2 9 10:25 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)