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West Ham U23 vs Swansea U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Yarmolenko A.
50'
Yarmolenko A.

AI Match Summary

West Ham U23 in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
West Ham U23
30%
Draws
42%
Swansea U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swansea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to West Ham U23 lately — more wins on the board than Swansea U23.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • West Ham U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • West Ham U23 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
West Ham U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham U23 Swansea U23
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 12
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2022 Premier League Cup
West Ham U23 vs Swansea U23
1:0
Dec 3, 2021 Premier League Cup
Swansea U23 vs West Ham U23
2:4
Mar 16, 2020 Premier League 2
West Ham U23 vs Swansea U23
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Premier League 2
Swansea U23 vs West Ham U23
2:4
Mar 11, 2019 Premier League 2
Swansea U23 vs West Ham U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yarmolenko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Swansea U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham U23 30 / 100
Swansea U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham U23 Swansea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

West Ham U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Swansea U23 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

West Ham U23 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

West Ham U23 VS Swansea U23
2 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham U23

(Home)
19 Jul
Maidenhead
4 : 2
West Ham U23
25 Jul
Ebbsfleet
2 : 1
West Ham U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Everton U23
3 : 4
West Ham U23
22 Apr
West Ham U23
0 : 1
Fulham U23
Page 1 of 7

Swansea U23

(Away)
28 Apr
Wigan U23
2 : 2
Swansea U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
04 Apr
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Sheffield Wed U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0
Swansea U23
14 Mar
Swansea U23
5 : 1
QPR U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)