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West Ham vs Portsmouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup London Stadium, London
West Ham Logo

West Ham

3 - 1
FT
Portsmouth Logo

Portsmouth

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Segecic A.
43' Event
Castellanos T.
Assist: Kante M.
45' Event
Bowen J.
Assist: Pablo
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
West Ham
35%
Draws
25%
Portsmouth
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: West Ham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • West Ham have won more games recently than Portsmouth.
  • Win probability leans West Ham's way, sitting at 50%.
  • West Ham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and West Ham have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
West Ham Clean Sheet 20%
Portsmouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham Portsmouth
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
West Ham vs Portsmouth
3:1
Jan 14, 2012 Championship
Portsmouth vs West Ham
0:1
Sep 10, 2011 Championship
West Ham vs Portsmouth
4:3
Jan 26, 2010 Premier League
Portsmouth vs West Ham
1:1
Dec 26, 2009 Premier League
West Ham vs Portsmouth
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham Compare

Top Goalscorer Castellanos T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bowen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Portsmouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Segecic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham 49 / 100
Portsmouth 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham Portsmouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: West Ham scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Portsmouth let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: West Ham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

West Ham VS Portsmouth
3 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham

(Home)
09 Oct
West Ham
1 : 1
QPR
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
Page 1 of 6

Portsmouth

(Away)
19 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 2
Blackburn
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0
Portsmouth
05 Sept
Portsmouth
2 : 0
Cardiff
01 Sept
Portsmouth
0 : 2
Derby
29 Aug
Bristol City
2 : 1
Portsmouth
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -