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West Ham W vs Southampton FC W

England England

Women's League Cup Chigwell Construction Stadium, Essex
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Palmer A. In: Bashford M.
Out: Palmer A.
46'
Sub
Primus A. In: Roberts E.
Out: Primus A.
46'
Sub
Brazil E. In: McAloine M.
Out: Brazil E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with West Ham W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
West Ham W
6%
Draws
90%
Southampton FC W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Southampton FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Southampton FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Southampton FC W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Southampton FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
West Ham W Clean Sheet 14%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham W Southampton FC W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Southampton FC W
5:0
Dec 11, 2024 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Southampton FC W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Asseyi V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Southampton FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham W 10 / 100
Southampton FC W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham W Southampton FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: West Ham W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Southampton FC W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: West Ham W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

West Ham W VS Southampton FC W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham W

(Home)
16 May
West Ham W
1 : 4
Manchester City W
04 May
Aston Villa W
0 : 2
West Ham W
26 Apr
Liverpool W
0 : 1
West Ham W
29 Mar
West Ham W
1 : 1
London City Lionesses W
21 Mar
Arsenal W
5 : 0
West Ham W
Page 1 of 6

Southampton FC W

(Away)
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Southampton FC W
2 : 2
Charlton W
03 Apr
Southampton FC W
5 : 2
Sheffield Utd W
28 Mar
Ipswich W
1 : 2
Southampton FC W
22 Mar
Durham W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W33008:48
2Everton W32015:55
3Nottingham W31023:44
4Newcastle Utd W30035:81
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liverpool W330011:29
2Sheffield Utd W32013:55
3Durham W30033:42
4Sunderland W31021:72
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham W430112:49
2Charlton W43017:69
3Brighton W42026:36
4Portsmouth W41032:63
5Southampton FC W41032:103
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crystal Palace W32017:46
2Leicester W32016:46
3London City Lionesses W32014:26
4Ipswich W30033:100
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tottenham W33004:08
2Aston Villa W31026:35
3Birmingham W32015:84
4Bristol City W30032:61
Promotion - Women's League Cup (Play Offs)