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West Ham W vs Southampton FC W

England England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 Chigwell Construction Stadium, Essex
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Palmer A. In: Bashford M.
Out: Palmer A.
46'
Sub
Primus A. In: Roberts E.
Out: Primus A.
46'
Sub
Brazil E. In: McAloine M.
Out: Brazil E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with West Ham W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
West Ham W
30%
Draws
42%
Southampton FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southampton FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Southampton FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Southampton FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Ham W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
West Ham W Clean Sheet 16%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric West Ham W Southampton FC W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Southampton FC W
5:0
Dec 11, 2024 Women's League Cup
West Ham W vs Southampton FC W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

West Ham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Asseyi V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Southampton FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

West Ham W 31 / 100
Southampton FC W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
West Ham W Southampton FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: West Ham W scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Southampton FC W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: West Ham W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

West Ham W VS Southampton FC W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

West Ham W

(Home)
27 Sept
Manchester United W
2 : 1
West Ham W
23 Sept
Tottenham W
0 : 1
West Ham W
20 Sept
West Ham W
0 : 1
Everton W
12 Sept
West Ham W
2 : 1
London City Lionesses W
06 Sept
Tottenham W
3 : 1
West Ham W
Page 1 of 6

Southampton FC W

(Away)
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Southampton FC W
0 : 0
Ipswich W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 3 3 0 0 8:4 8
2 Everton W 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
3 Nottingham W 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 Newcastle Utd W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool W 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Sheffield Utd W 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
3 Durham W 3 0 0 3 3:4 2
4 Sunderland W 3 1 0 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham W 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Charlton W 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Brighton W 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
4 Portsmouth W 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
5 Southampton FC W 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace W 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Ipswich W 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Aston Villa W 3 1 0 2 6:3 5
3 Birmingham W 3 2 0 1 5:8 4
4 Bristol City W 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)