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Westchester SC vs FC Naples - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One The Stadium at Memorial Field, Mount Vernon, NY
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Match Events

10'
Elias P.
29' Event
McGlynn C.
Assist: Timchenko T.
35' Event
Jimenez J.
Assist: Evans K.

AI Match Summary

Westchester SC in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westchester SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Westchester SC
30%
Draws
37%
FC Naples
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Naples

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Westchester SC have won more games recently than FC Naples.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Westchester SC Clean Sheet 16%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westchester SC FC Naples
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL League One
Westchester SC vs FC Naples
3:2
May 23, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Westchester SC
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 USL League One
Westchester SC vs FC Naples
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Westchester SC
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Westchester SC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westchester SC Compare

Top Goalscorer McGlynn C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC Naples Compare

Top Goalscorer Likulia N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westchester SC 30 / 100
FC Naples 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westchester SC FC Naples

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westchester SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Naples has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Westchester SC scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Westchester SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westchester SC VS FC Naples
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Westchester SC

(Home)
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1
AV Alta FC
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4
Westchester SC
Page 1 of 6

FC Naples

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
03 Oct
FC Naples
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2
FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
FC Naples
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Sarasota Paradise 29 10 6 13 42:45 36
12 Corpus Christi FC 30 9 9 12 33:44 36
13 AV Alta FC 30 8 9 13 37:44 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 29 6 6 17 32:54 24
17 Richmond Kickers 30 6 5 19 32:63 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)