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Westerlo vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Bayram E.
(Penalty)
54'
Camara E.
59'
Alcocer J.

AI Match Summary

Westerlo in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Westerlo
33%
Draws
40%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Charleroi have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Model gives Charleroi a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 16%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Charleroi
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
2:0
May 9, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferri I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Charleroi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 28 / 100
Charleroi 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Westerlo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Charleroi let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Westerlo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Charleroi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 0
Al Fayha
18 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
12 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
Westerlo
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
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Charleroi

(Away)
25 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Charleroi
2 : 2
Reims
23 May
St. Liege
0 : 2
Charleroi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)