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Westerlo vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Westerlo Logo

Westerlo

2 - 0
FT
Charleroi Logo

Charleroi

Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Bayram E.
(Penalty)
54'
Camara E.
59'
Alcocer J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Westerlo in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Westerlo
15%
Draws
54%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Charleroi have won more games recently than Westerlo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Charleroi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:0
Feb 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Charleroi
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
2:0
May 9, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Westerlo
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferri I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Charleroi Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 30 / 100
Charleroi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Westerlo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Charleroi let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Westerlo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Charleroi
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
Page 1 of 6

Charleroi

(Away)
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)