Sport Picks

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Westerlo vs Leuven

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Traore A. K.
Assist: Kaba S.
15' Event
George W.
Assist: Traore A. K.
18'
Piedfort A.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Westerlo and Leuven finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Westerlo
28%
Draws
50%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Leuven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Westerlo come out ahead of Leuven on wins alone.
  • Model gives Leuven a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Westerlo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 12%
Leuven Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Leuven
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Leuven
3:3
Apr 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Leuven
2:0
May 16, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayyadmanesh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakamoto I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Leuven Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A. K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader George W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 22 / 100
Leuven 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Westerlo scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Leuven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Westerlo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Leuven
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 0
Al Fayha
18 Jul
Westerlo
0 : 2
Beerschot VA
12 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 2
Westerlo
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
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Leuven

(Away)
25 Jul
Heerenveen
4 : 4
Leuven
24 Jul
Club Brugge U23
3 : 0
Leuven
18 Jul
Leuven
1 : 0
Lierse SK
15 Jul
Leuven
5 : 1
Lommel SK
11 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 1
Leuven
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)