Sport Picks

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Westerlo vs Leuven

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Traore A. K.
Assist: Kaba S.
15' Event
George W.
Assist: Traore A. K.
18'
Piedfort A.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Westerlo and Leuven finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Westerlo
20%
Draws
10%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Westerlo come out ahead of Leuven on wins alone.
  • Model gives Westerlo a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Westerlo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 11%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo Leuven
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.24 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Leuven
3:3
Apr 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:2
Mar 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs Leuven
2:0
May 16, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Westerlo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayyadmanesh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakamoto I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Leuven Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A. K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader George W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 83 / 100
Leuven 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westerlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Westerlo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Leuven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Westerlo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS Leuven
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
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Leuven

(Away)
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
15 Aug
Leuven
0 : 3
Club Brugge
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)