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Westerlo vs St. Liege

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Westerlo Logo

Westerlo

1 - 2
FT
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Haspolat D.
18' Event
Nkada T.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Said R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Liege in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Liege.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Westerlo
30%
Draws
51%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Liege lately — more wins on the board than Westerlo.
  • Win probability leans St. Liege's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 11%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Westerlo St. Liege
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Westerlo
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
0:2
May 24, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Liege
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Haspolat D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Said R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Westerlo 10 / 100
St. Liege 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Westerlo St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Westerlo scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

St. Liege's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Westerlo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Westerlo VS St. Liege
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Westerlo

(Home)
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
08 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 5
Royale Union SG
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St. Liege

(Away)
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
16 Aug
KV Mechelen
3 : 3
St. Liege
08 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)