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Western Springs W vs Petone W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ollington M.
36' Event
Ollington M.
45' Event
Tuisamoa A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The National League Women game between Western Springs W and Petone W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Springs W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Western Springs W
6%
Draws
4%
Petone W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Western Springs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Western Springs W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Western Springs W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Western Springs W Clean Sheet 20%
Petone W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs W Petone W
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 15 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 3.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Petone W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Springs W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ollington M.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Petone W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs W 85 / 100
Petone W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs W Petone W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WSP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Springs W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Petone W conceded in 78% of 9 recent games.

Away concern: Petone W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Western Springs W VS Petone W
3.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Western Springs W

(Home)
04 Jul
Ellerslie W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
31 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
Page 1 of 6

Petone W

(Away)
23 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Petone W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Petone W
0 : 3
Auckland United W
22 Oct
Central Football W
0 : 3
Petone W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)