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Western Suburbs vs Bay Olympic

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bay Olympic in this Chatham Cup 2017 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Western Suburbs
15%
Draws
51%
Bay Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bay Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Western Suburbs lately — more wins on the board than Bay Olympic.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Western Suburbs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bay Olympic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Bay Olympic Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Suburbs Bay Olympic
Matches Played 32 11
Wins 11 4
Draws 2 0
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1.78 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2017 Chatham Cup
Western Suburbs vs Bay Olympic
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Suburbs 34 / 100
Bay Olympic 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Suburbs Bay Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bay Olympic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bay Olympic let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

Western Suburbs's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bay Olympic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Western Suburbs VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Western Suburbs

(Home)
07 Dec
Western Suburbs
2 : 7
Wellington Phoenix 2
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 0
Auckland United
15 Nov
Christchurch
3 : 1
Western Suburbs
09 Nov
Western Suburbs
1 : 1
Auckland FC 2
Page 1 of 7

Bay Olympic

(Away)
09 Jul
Bay Olympic
1 : 2
Auckland City
11 Jul
Melville
2 : 1
Bay Olympic
24 Aug
Bay Olympic
0 : 2
Melville
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
06 Jul
Bay Olympic
3 : 0
Manukau United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 4
North Shore 0
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 1
Stop Out SC 1
Western Suburbs 5
Western Springs 2
Bay Olympic 3
Queenstown Rovers 1
Nelson Suburbs FC 6
Cashmere Technical 2
Caversham 0
Three Kings 1
Birkenhead 2
Onehunga 1
Melville 0
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Wairarapa United 0
Western Suburbs 1
Bay Olympic 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Birkenhead 0
Onehunga 3
Semi-finals
Central United 5
Bay Olympic 0
Cashmere Technical 0
Onehunga 3
Final
Central United 3
Onehunga 4