Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Western Suburbs vs Coastal Spirit

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Alex Moore Park
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nguyen K.
22' Event
Tipene-Clegg N.
35' Event
Nguyen K.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Western Suburbs and Coastal Spirit finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Suburbs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Western Suburbs
39%
Draws
31%
Coastal Spirit
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Coastal Spirit carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Suburbs Coastal Spirit
Matches Played 21 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 National League
Western Suburbs vs Coastal Spirit
8:0
Oct 13, 2024 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Western Suburbs
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen K.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Barton-Ginger S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Coastal Spirit Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Suburbs 31 / 100
Coastal Spirit 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Suburbs Coastal Spirit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Western Suburbs scored in 71% of their last 21 outings.

Coastal Spirit has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Difficult form: Coastal Spirit registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Western Suburbs VS Coastal Spirit
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237