Sport Picks
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 CommBank Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
17'
17'
Fraser R.
Assist: Scicluna D.
43'
43'
Cancar P.
Assist: Thurgate A.
46'
46'
Sub
Kartum S. In: Najjarine R.
Out: Kartum S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Western Sydney Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Wellington Phoenix have won more games recently than Western Sydney Wanderers.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Western Sydney Wanderers taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Western Sydney Wanderers Clean Sheet 15%
Wellington Phoenix Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Western Sydney Wanderers | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2:1
Feb 13, 2026 A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2:2
Dec 22, 2024 A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix
4:1
Dec 23, 2023 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Western Sydney Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Fraser R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cancar P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Wellington Phoenix Compare
Top Goalscorer Tuiloma B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Eze I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Western Sydney Wanderers 84 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Western Sydney Wanderers Wellington Phoenix
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Western Sydney Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Western Sydney Wanderers scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Western Sydney Wanderers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Western Sydney Wanderers VS Wellington Phoenix
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Western Sydney Wanderers
(Home) 26 Sept
Western Sydney Wanderers
5 : 1 Central Coast
19 Sept
Auckland FC
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers
22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0 Macarthur FC
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2 Melbourne Victory
28 Jul
Chelsea
6 : 4 Western Sydney Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Western Sydney Wanderers
5 : 1 Central Coast
22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0 Macarthur FC
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2 Melbourne Victory
25 Apr
Western Sydney Wanderers
0 : 2 Melbourne Victory
11 Apr
Western Sydney Wanderers
0 : 2 Sydney FC
Page 1 of 3
Wellington Phoenix
(Away) 24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
06 Mar
Adelaide Utd
1 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
