Sport Picks
Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Ath. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League South 
Match Events
31'
31'
Sheriff D.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Britton L.
55'
55'
Britton L.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Weston-super-Mare and Dover Ath. finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dover Ath..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dover Ath.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dover Ath. carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Dover Ath. a 55% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Weston-super-Mare | Dover Ath. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Ath.
2:3
Feb 21, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Weston-super-Mare
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Ath.
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Ath.
1:0
Nov 25, 2023 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Weston-super-Mare
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Weston-super-Mare Compare
Top Goalscorer Britton L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Dover Ath. Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Andrews C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Weston-super-Mare 12 / 100
Dover Ath. 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Weston-super-Mare Dover Ath.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dover Ath. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dover Ath. conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.
Weston-super-Mare scored in 69% of their last 26 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Weston-super-Mare went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Weston-super-Mare VS Dover Ath.
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Weston-super-Mare
(Home) 17 Oct
Ebbsfleet
6 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Folkestone
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2 Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 1 Weston-super-Mare
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Wimborne
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Folkestone
19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Wimborne
12 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 0 Dagenham & Red.
08 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 1 AFC Totton
31 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 3
Dover Ath.
(Away) 24 Oct
Salisbury
1 : 1 Dover Ath.
17 Oct
Dover Ath.
3 : 2 Dorking Wanderers
10 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 1 Dorking Wanderers
03 Oct
Hanwell Town
1 : 2 Dover Ath.
26 Sept
Dover Ath.
2 : 0 AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Salisbury
1 : 1 Dover Ath.
03 Oct
Hanwell Town
1 : 2 Dover Ath.
12 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 26 |
| 2 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 26:6 | 25 |
| 3 | Truro | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Dagenham & Red. | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 23 |
| 5 | Salisbury | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Billericay | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:14 | 21 |
| 7 | Tonbridge | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 21 |
| 8 | Dorking Wanderers | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 26:18 | 20 |
| 9 | Farnham | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Folkestone | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 11 | Dover Ath. | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Weston-super-Mare | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 13 | Horsham FC | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 14 | Torquay | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Chelmsford | 11 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 17:11 | 15 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:14 | 14 |
| 17 | Farnborough | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:18 | 13 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:24 | 13 |
| 20 | Chesham | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 21 | Braintree | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18:33 | 10 |
| 22 | Hampton & Richmond | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | 8 |
| 23 | Walton & Hersham | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:28 | 8 |
| 24 | Slough Town | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13:34 | 4 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
