Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Sheriff D.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Britton L.
55'
55'
Britton L.
AI Match Summary
The National League South game between Weston-super-Mare and Dover Ath. finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dover Ath..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Weston-super-Mare carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Weston-super-Mare a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Weston-super-Mare | Dover Ath. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Ath.
2:3
Feb 21, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Weston-super-Mare
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Ath.
1:2
Mar 9, 2024 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Ath.
1:0
Nov 25, 2023 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Weston-super-Mare
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Weston-super-Mare Compare
Top Goalscorer Britton L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Dover Ath. Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Weston-super-Mare 58 / 100
Dover Ath. 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Weston-super-Mare Dover Ath.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Weston-super-Mare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dover Ath. conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Weston-super-Mare scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Weston-super-Mare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Weston-super-Mare VS Dover Ath.
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Weston-super-Mare
(Home) 22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3 Dover Ath.
18 Aug
Torquay
0 : 0 Weston-super-Mare
15 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Hampton & Richmond
08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Chesham
31 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3 Dover Ath.
15 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Hampton & Richmond
08 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
3 : 0 Chesham
31 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1 Gloucester City
25 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 2 Exeter
Page 1 of 4
Dover Ath.
(Away) 22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3 Dover Ath.
18 Aug
Dover Ath.
0 : 1 Tonbridge
15 Aug
Dover Ath.
5 : 3 Slough Town
08 Aug
Billericay
2 : 0 Dover Ath.
01 Aug
Dover Ath.
1 : 1 Carshalton
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3 Dover Ath.
08 Aug
Billericay
2 : 0 Dover Ath.
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
18 Apr
Maidenhead
1 : 0 Dover Ath.
06 Apr
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Red. | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Horsham FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Weston-super-Mare | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Truro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 7 |
| 5 | Maidstone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Hemel Hempstead | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Farnborough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 8 | Billericay | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | Tonbridge | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Dover Ath. | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 13 | Torquay | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 15 | Salisbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 17 | Chelmsford | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 18 | Chesham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 19 | Farnham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 0 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
