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Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham FC

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Britton L.

AI Match Summary

The National League South 2025/2026 game between Weston-super-Mare and Horsham FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Weston-super-Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Weston-super-Mare
40%
Draws
29%
Horsham FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Weston-super-Mare come out ahead of Horsham FC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 20%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weston-super-Mare Horsham FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Horsham FC
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 National League South
Horsham FC vs Weston-super-Mare
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Weston-super-Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Britton L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Horsham FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston-super-Mare 32 / 100
Horsham FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weston-super-Mare Horsham FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horsham FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Weston-super-Mare remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Weston-super-Mare scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Weston-super-Mare VS Horsham FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036