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Weston-super-Mare vs Taunton Town

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Weston-super-Mare play Taunton Town in the FA Cup. Taunton Town are favorites here. Recently, Weston-super-Mare averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Taunton Town averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Weston-super-Mare won 3, Taunton Town won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 16, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Weston-super-Mare and 1.00 for Taunton Town. This points to a Taunton Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Weston-super-Mare
25%
Draws
60%
Taunton Town
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Taunton Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Weston-super-Mare picked up more points recently compared to Taunton Town.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 23%
Taunton Town Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weston-super-Mare Taunton Town
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.04 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 FA Cup
Weston-super-Mare vs Taunton Town
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare
1:1
Apr 18, 2024 National League South
Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare
0:1
Mar 29, 2024 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Taunton Town
4:0
Apr 2, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Taunton Town vs Weston-super-Mare
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston-super-Mare 18 / 100
Taunton Town 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weston-super-Mare Taunton Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taunton Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Taunton Town & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Weston-super-Mare attacking → ← attacking Taunton Town

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Weston-super-Mare scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Taunton Town let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Weston-super-Mare went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Taunton Town lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 36
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.17