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Weston Workers Bears vs Adamstown Rosebud

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Rockwell Automation Park, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
48' Event
61' Event

AI Match Summary

Weston Workers Bears in this NPL Northern NSW matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Weston Workers Bears.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Weston Workers Bears
20%
Draws
28%
Adamstown Rosebud
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Weston Workers Bears

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Weston Workers Bears have won more games recently than Adamstown Rosebud.
  • Win probability leans Weston Workers Bears's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • History favors Weston Workers Bears here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Weston Workers Bears Clean Sheet 10%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Weston Workers Bears Adamstown Rosebud
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.06 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Weston Workers Bears vs Adamstown Rosebud
4:2
Apr 25, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Weston Workers Bears
0:2
Jul 20, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Weston Workers Bears vs Adamstown Rosebud
5:3
Apr 25, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Weston Workers Bears
0:4
Jul 28, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Weston Workers Bears vs Adamstown Rosebud
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Weston Workers Bears 83 / 100
Adamstown Rosebud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Weston Workers Bears Adamstown Rosebud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Weston Workers Bears Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Weston Workers Bears went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Weston Workers Bears scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Adamstown Rosebud has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Weston Workers Bears VS Adamstown Rosebud
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Weston Workers Bears

(Home)
13 Sept
Weston Workers Bears
2 : 0
Maitland
29 Aug
Broadmeadow Magic FC
0 : 3
Weston Workers Bears
23 Aug
Maitland
0 : 1
Weston Workers Bears
16 Aug
Valentine
0 : 0
Weston Workers Bears
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2
Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 7

Adamstown Rosebud

(Away)
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3
Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2
Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2
Cooks Hill United
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1
Valentine
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1
Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)