Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wexford vs Kerry

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Ferrycarrig Park
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Harnett K.
30' Event
Hakkinen J.
40'
Butler R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Wexford
33%
Draws
40%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wexford lately — more wins on the board than Kerry.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kerry taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Wexford Clean Sheet 16%
Kerry Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Kerry
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
2:2
May 15, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
0:2
Jun 27, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer Harnett K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Sullivan Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakkinen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGrath S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 28 / 100
Kerry 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Kerry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerry let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Wexford scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Wexford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wexford VS Kerry
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822