Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wexford vs Crumlin Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2017 Ferrycarrig Park, Wexford
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Vickers D.
29' Event
McCormack O.
86' Event
Donnelly J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Crumlin Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Wexford
15%
Draws
51%
Crumlin Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Crumlin Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Crumlin Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crumlin Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Crumlin Utd
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.15 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2017 FAI Cup
Wexford vs Crumlin Utd
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer McCormack O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Crumlin Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Vickers D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donnelly J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 30 / 100
Crumlin Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Crumlin Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wexford scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Crumlin Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Wexford went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wexford VS Crumlin Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Wexford

(Home)
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Wexford
3 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
Page 1 of 7

Crumlin Utd

(Away)
17 Jul
Galway United
4 : 0
Crumlin Utd
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
18 Jul
Drogheda
5 : 0
Crumlin Utd
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0
Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd -
Cobh Wanderers 1
Edenderry Town 0
Boyle Celtic 0
Killarney Celtic 1
Evergreen United 3
St. Marys 2
TBD -
Drogheda -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Glenville -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Portmarnock -
Killester Donnycarney 2
Ballymun Utd 1
TBD -
Galway United -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Everton AFC 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
Cherry Orchard 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone -
TBD -
College Corinthians 0
Ballincollig 1
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 0
Wexford 1
Crumlin Utd 2
Cobh Wanderers 3
Killarney Celtic 0
Evergreen United 0
Drogheda 4
Bluebell Utd 3
Sheriff YC 0
UC Dublin 1
Cabinteely 3
Shelbourne 3
Waterford 0
Glenville 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 3
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 3
Finn Harps 4
St. Patricks 2
Portmarnock 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Galway United 4
Longford 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Everton AFC 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone 5
Ballincollig 0
Bray 0
Cork City 1
1/8-finals
Dundalk 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Cobh Wanderers 1
Drogheda 5
Bluebell Utd 1
Cabinteely 0
Shelbourne 0
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 1
Finn Harps 0
St. Patricks 0
Galway United 2
Longford 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Athlone 0
Cork City 7
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 4
Drogheda 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Limerick 2
Galway United 1
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Semi-finals
Dundalk 5
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 0
Cork City 1
Final
Dundalk 1
Cork City 2