Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wexford vs Kerry

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Ferrycarrig Park, Wexford
Wexford Logo

Wexford

2 - 2
FT
Kerry Logo

Kerry

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Harnett K.
30' Event
Hakkinen J.
40'
Butler R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Wexford
15%
Draws
51%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kerry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kerry lately — more wins on the board than Wexford.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Wexford Clean Sheet 13%
Kerry Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Kerry
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
1:0
Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
2:2
May 15, 2026 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Kerry
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 Division 1
Kerry vs Wexford
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer Harnett K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Sullivan Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakkinen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGrath S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 31 / 100
Kerry 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Kerry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wexford scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Kerry let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Wexford stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wexford VS Kerry
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wexford

(Home)
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Wexford
3 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

Kerry

(Away)
25 Sept
Kerry
1 : 0
Wexford
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Kerry
3 : 1
Treaty United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 33 22 5 6 70:32 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Longford 33 13 8 12 44:42 47
5 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
6 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
7 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)