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Wexford vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Ferrycarrig Park, Wexford
Fri, Oct 2, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wexford host Longford in the Division 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Longford have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Wexford have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Wexford have won 1 to Longford's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.75, favoring Longford. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Wexford
15%
Draws
46%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Longford come out ahead of Wexford on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Wexford Clean Sheet 12%
Longford Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Longford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
1:2
May 8, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 35 / 100
Longford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wexford scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Longford has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Wexford has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wexford VS Longford
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wexford

(Home)
18 Sept
Wexford
3 : 1
Cobh Ramblers
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

Longford

(Away)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 32 14 8 10 61:44 50
3 UC Dublin 32 14 7 11 56:45 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 32 13 6 13 39:46 45
5 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
6 Athlone 32 12 8 12 36:36 44
7 Kerry 32 11 9 12 39:39 42
8 Wexford 32 11 7 14 37:47 40
9 Treaty United 32 8 9 15 31:47 33
10 Finn Harps 32 6 7 19 29:64 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)