Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wexford vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Ferrycarrig Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wexford play Longford in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wexford averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Longford averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Wexford won 0, Longford won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Wexford and 1.69 for Longford. This points to a Longford double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Wexford
23%
Draws
39%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Wexford picked up more points recently compared to Longford.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Wexford Clean Sheet 13%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Longford
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
0:1
May 3, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Doran A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 37 / 100
Longford 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Longford or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wexford attacking → ← attacking Longford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wexford scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Longford let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Wexford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Longford lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 34
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cork City21163242:1151
2UC Dublin21113735:1936
3Bray2187639:3031
4Cobh Ramblers2194825:2931
5Wexford2176825:2927
6Kerry2167821:2525
7Longford2167821:2625
8Athlone2166919:2624
9Finn Harps21471019:3719
10Treaty United21381019:3317