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Wexford vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Ferrycarrig Park, Wexford
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Doran A.
40'
Williams D.
42'
Hand D.

AI Match Summary

Longford in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Longford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Wexford
17%
Draws
70%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Longford have won more games recently than Wexford.
  • Win probability leans Longford's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Longford have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Wexford Clean Sheet 12%
Longford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Longford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
0:1
May 3, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Doran A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 14 / 100
Longford 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wexford scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Longford conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Wexford has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wexford VS Longford
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wexford

(Home)
17 Jul
St. Patricks
2 : 1
Wexford
10 Jul
Wexford
2 : 2
Kerry
03 Jul
Finn Harps
1 : 0
Wexford
26 Jun
Wexford
0 : 0
Treaty United
19 Jun
Athlone
2 : 2
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

Longford

(Away)
18 Jul
Baldoyle Utd.
0 : 8
Longford
10 Jul
Cork City
3 : 4
Longford
04 Jul
Longford
2 : 1
UC Dublin
26 Jun
Kerry
2 : 1
Longford
19 Jun
Bray
5 : 2
Longford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)