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Wexford vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Ferrycarrig Park, Wexford
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Doran A.
40'
Williams D.
42'
Hand D.

AI Match Summary

Longford in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Longford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Wexford
15%
Draws
49%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Longford have won more games recently than Wexford.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%
Longford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wexford Longford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
1:2
May 8, 2026 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1
Longford vs Wexford
2:2
Jun 20, 2025 Division 1
Wexford vs Longford
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Doran A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 34 / 100
Longford 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wexford Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wexford scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Longford has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Longford's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wexford VS Longford
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Wexford

(Home)
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Treaty United
0 : 1
Wexford
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Wexford
0 : 2
Athlone
07 Aug
UC Dublin
4 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

Longford

(Away)
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2
Longford
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0
Longford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 31 21 5 5 64:29 68
2 UC Dublin 31 14 7 10 55:40 49
3 Bray 31 13 8 10 59:44 47
4 Cobh Ramblers 31 13 6 12 38:43 45
5 Kerry 31 11 9 11 39:36 42
6 Longford 31 11 8 12 41:41 41
7 Athlone 31 11 8 12 33:36 41
8 Wexford 31 10 7 14 34:46 37
9 Treaty United 31 8 9 14 31:45 33
10 Finn Harps 31 6 7 18 29:63 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)